Wrexham AFC vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
MIL
0 - 2
WRE
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
PNE
2 - 3
WRE
42%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
WRE
2 - 2
SHW
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
WRE
2 - 3
WBA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
WRE
3 - 3
HUL
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2025 |
SWI
3 - 2
REA
32%
23%
45%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
REA
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
REA
2 - 1
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
WYC
2 - 2
REA
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
BOL
1 - 1
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |