Wrexham AFC vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WRE
1 - 2
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 4
WRE
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 4
ALF
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 4
LIN
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
STO
2 - 3
WRE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
GAT
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 1
WOK
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KID
1 - 1
GAT
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GAT
0 - 0
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |