National League Round 15

Wrexham AFC vs Dover Athletic analysis

Wrexham AFC Dover Athletic
47 ELO 50
-24.1% Tilt -10%
927º General ELO ranking 6169º
Country ELO ranking 207º
ELO win probability
29.8%
Wrexham AFC
26.8%
Draw
43.4%
Dover Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
Wrexham AFC
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.4%
Win probability
Dover Athletic
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wrexham AFC
+7%
+28%
Dover Athletic

ELO progression

Wrexham AFC
Dover Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2020
STO
Stockport County
2 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
59%
22%
19%
48 52 4 0
19 Dec. 2020
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 0
Leamington
LEA
45%
26%
29%
49 44 5 -1
15 Dec. 2020
WEY
Weymouth
2 - 3
Wrexham AFC
WRE
42%
25%
33%
48 45 3 +1
05 Dec. 2020
GUL
Torquay United
3 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
62%
21%
17%
49 53 4 -1
01 Dec. 2020
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
39%
27%
34%
50 49 1 -1

Matches

Dover Athletic
Dover Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Dec. 2020
WOK
Woking
2 - 1
Dover Athletic
DOV
39%
25%
37%
51 49 2 0
24 Oct. 2020
YEO
Yeovil Town
3 - 3
Dover Athletic
DOV
40%
24%
35%
51 49 2 0
26 Sep. 2020
MAI
Maidstone United
3 - 0
Dover Athletic
DOV
27%
24%
49%
51 43 8 0
22 Sep. 2020
DAR
Dartford
1 - 1
Dover Athletic
DOV
47%
24%
29%
51 52 1 0
19 Sep. 2020
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
2 - 1
Dover Athletic
DOV
37%
25%
39%
51 49 2 0