National League Round 27

Wrexham AFC vs Barrow analysis

Wrexham AFC Barrow
53 ELO 50
-8.2% Tilt 3.1%
958º General ELO ranking 3559º
Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
51.4%
Wrexham AFC
26%
Draw
22.6%
Barrow

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
Wrexham AFC
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.6%
Win probability
Barrow
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wrexham AFC
+11%
+30%
Barrow

ELO progression

Wrexham AFC
Barrow
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2009
HIS
Histon
1 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
60%
22%
19%
53 60 7 0
23 Mar. 2009
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
36%
28%
37%
54 59 5 -1
21 Mar. 2009
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 2
Crawley Town
CRA
43%
27%
30%
55 56 1 -1
17 Mar. 2009
NOR
Northwich Victoria
1 - 2
Wrexham AFC
WRE
22%
25%
53%
55 41 14 0
14 Mar. 2009
WOK
Woking
1 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
29%
27%
44%
55 49 6 0

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2009
WEY
Weymouth
0 - 3
Barrow
BAR
43%
25%
32%
48 43 5 0
21 Mar. 2009
BAR
Barrow
2 - 0
Lewes
LEW
63%
21%
16%
48 38 10 0
17 Mar. 2009
BAR
Barrow
0 - 2
Cambridge United
CAM
28%
28%
45%
49 60 11 -1
14 Mar. 2009
GUL
Torquay United
4 - 1
Barrow
BAR
62%
23%
15%
50 60 10 -1
10 Mar. 2009
BAR
Barrow
1 - 0
Histon
HIS
23%
25%
52%
49 60 11 +1