Worthing vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 6
WOR
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
3 - 3
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
BOG
5 - 0
WOR
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 1
GRA
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
LEA
1 - 1
WOR
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 5
WIN
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 2
HAV
20%
23%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
WIN
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 2
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 0
HEN
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |