Worthing vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
6 - 2
WOR
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
SUT
3 - 2
WOR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 3
LEI
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 2
SUT
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
6 - 0
CAN
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NEE
2 - 1
KIN
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HAV
1 - 3
NEE
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 1
NEE
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEE
1 - 1
STA
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
NEE
2 - 1
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |