Worthing vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 4
WOR
14%
17%
69%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 3
WOR
18%
21%
62%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 3
WOR
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 1
BOW
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
WOR
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
CAR
20%
21%
60%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
6 - 0
MER
86%
9%
4%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MER
1 - 4
POT
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 0
MER
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 2
MER
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |