Worthing vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
1 - 2
CRA
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BIS
0 - 1
WOR
17%
21%
63%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
WOR
43%
24%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 0
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 3
WOR
10%
17%
73%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 3
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
2 - 1
HOR
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
3 - 1
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BOG
4 - 3
FOL
39%
24%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |