Non League Div One Isthmian South Round 19

Worthing vs Chipstead analysis

Worthing Chipstead
43 ELO 26
0.3% Tilt 9%
3954º General ELO ranking 13466º
106º Country ELO ranking 775º
ELO win probability
76.6%
Worthing
15.2%
Draw
8.3%
Chipstead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
Worthing
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.3%
Win probability
Chipstead
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Worthing
-2%
-8%
Chipstead

ELO progression

Worthing
Chipstead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Worthing
Worthing
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2007
DOV
Dover Athletic
3 - 0
Worthing
WOR
56%
23%
21%
44 50 6 0
01 Dec. 2007
WOR
Worthing
2 - 0
Kingstonian
KIN
52%
24%
24%
43 41 2 +1
17 Nov. 2007
WOR
Worthing
3 - 1
Whitstable Town
WHI
79%
14%
7%
43 21 22 0
13 Nov. 2007
ATK
Ashford Town Kent
0 - 4
Worthing
WOR
27%
26%
48%
42 33 9 +1
10 Nov. 2007
MOL
Molesey FC
1 - 3
Worthing
WOR
20%
24%
56%
41 25 16 +1

Matches

Chipstead
Chipstead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2007
CHI
Chipstead
3 - 3
Croydon Athletic
CRO
37%
24%
39%
24 29 5 0
24 Nov. 2007
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 0
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
17%
22%
61%
21 41 20 +3
17 Nov. 2007
LEA
Leatherhead
0 - 1
Chipstead
CHI
71%
18%
11%
21 33 12 0
10 Nov. 2007
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 3
Dover Athletic
DOV
15%
21%
64%
22 48 26 -1
06 Nov. 2007
CHI
Chipstead
2 - 1
Ashford Town Kent
ATK
20%
23%
58%
20 35 15 +2