Wörgl vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
44.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
39
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 0
WOR
19%
19%
61%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
ROS
6 - 0
WOR
9%
16%
75%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 0
HAL
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
WOR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
KUN
2 - 1
WOR
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
TEL
39%
24%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
KUN
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
WOR
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 2
WAT
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
WAT
11%
15%
74%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |