Wörgl vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
12º
11º
22
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
VOL
2 - 2
WOR
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
WOR
2 - 2
EBB
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SCH
5 - 0
WOR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KUN
3 - 1
WOR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 1
WOR
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SCM
2 - 3
STJ
11%
18%
71%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
IAC
2 - 4
SCM
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
REI
5 - 1
SCM
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 3
TEL
14%
17%
70%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
6 - 5
SCM
91%
6%
3%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |