Wörgl vs Reichenau / Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
JEN
3 - 0
WOR
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
KIR
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SVA
3 - 0
WOR
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
SVK
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
SVI
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Reichenau / Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
RUI
4 - 0
SVL
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RUI
2 - 1
JEN
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KIR
0 - 3
RUI
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RUI
3 - 0
SVA
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SVK
0 - 2
RUI
31%
25%
45%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |