Wörgl vs Leoben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
FCK
2 - 0
WOR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
WOR
2 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
BRA
0 - 0
WOR
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
WOR
4 - 2
UNT
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
VIE
1 - 1
WOR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
LBN
1 - 2
AWM
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
AUS
1 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LBN
2 - 1
FCK
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
FCK
1 - 1
LBN
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
LBN
3 - 0
VSE
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |