Austria Fourth Division Tyrol Round 19

Wörgl vs Kitzbühel analysis

Wörgl Kitzbühel
29 ELO 47
18.4% Tilt 13.9%
7840º General ELO ranking 5829º
143º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
18.7%
Wörgl
22.6%
Draw
58.7%
Kitzbühel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
Wörgl
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.7%
Win probability
Kitzbühel
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wörgl
-22%
-27%
Kitzbühel

Points and table prediction

Wörgl
Their league position
Kitzbühel
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SK St. Johann
44
44
100%
Volders
43
43
100%
Kitzbühel
42
42
100%
Swarovski Tirol II
39
39
100%
Fügen
36
36
100%
Ebbs
34
34
100%
Völs
28
28
100%
Kematen
27
27
100%
Telfs
26
26
100%
Innsbrucker AC
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Kundl
11º
14
14
11º
100%
Wörgl
12º
11
11
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wörgl
Kitzbühel
100% 100%

ELO progression

Wörgl
Kitzbühel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wörgl
Wörgl
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
FCV
Volders
3 - 1
Wörgl
WOR
69%
19%
12%
31 46 15 0
04 Nov. 2023
KUN
Kundl
1 - 0
Wörgl
WOR
18%
19%
62%
32 25 7 -1
29 Oct. 2023
WOR
Wörgl
1 - 4
Telfs
TEL
25%
23%
53%
34 44 10 -2
21 Oct. 2023
VOL
Völs
3 - 1
Wörgl
WOR
55%
20%
24%
34 39 5 0
13 Oct. 2023
WOR
Wörgl
2 - 2
Innsbrucker AC
IAC
51%
20%
29%
34 35 1 0

Matches

Kitzbühel
Kitzbühel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
KIT
Kitzbühel
2 - 1
Telfs
TEL
46%
24%
30%
46 44 2 0
05 Nov. 2023
VOL
Völs
1 - 2
Kitzbühel
KIT
35%
25%
40%
45 40 5 +1
28 Oct. 2023
KIT
Kitzbühel
3 - 2
Innsbrucker AC
IAC
61%
21%
18%
44 34 10 +1
22 Oct. 2023
WAT
Swarovski Tirol II
3 - 0
Kitzbühel
KIT
49%
24%
27%
46 46 0 -2
15 Oct. 2023
KIT
Kitzbühel
2 - 2
SK St. Johann
STJ
59%
22%
19%
46 40 6 0