Wörgl vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
42
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 1
WOR
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
18%
19%
62%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 4
TEL
25%
23%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
WOR
55%
20%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 2
IAC
51%
20%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 1
TEL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
KIT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 2
IAC
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
KIT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 2
STJ
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |