Worcester City vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 3
WOR
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
GLO
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 1
WOR
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 3
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 0
GAI
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 0
NOR
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |