Worcester City vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
5 - 1
WOR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
4 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BOS
0 - 0
WOR
58%
22%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 3
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 3
NUN
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 3
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 2
AFC
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 1
MAT
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STA
0 - 2
ALT
43%
22%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 0
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |