Challenge League Round 14

Wohlen vs Thun analysis

Wohlen Thun
52 ELO 63
7.8% Tilt 18.1%
5945º General ELO ranking 430º
77º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
26.7%
Wohlen
24.5%
Draw
48.8%
Thun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
Wohlen
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.8%
Win probability
Thun
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wohlen
-21%
+4%
Thun

ELO progression

Wohlen
Thun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wohlen
Wohlen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2010
WOH
Wohlen
2 - 1
SC Kriens
KRI
30%
25%
45%
51 61 10 0
05 Dec. 2009
WOH
Wohlen
4 - 4
Winterthur
WIN
32%
25%
44%
51 58 7 0
08 Nov. 2009
FCV
FC Vaduz
4 - 1
Wohlen
WOH
71%
17%
12%
52 62 10 -1
31 Oct. 2009
KRI
SC Kriens
3 - 2
Wohlen
WOH
61%
21%
18%
53 60 7 -1
24 Oct. 2009
WOH
Wohlen
2 - 4
Schaffhausen
SCH
49%
25%
27%
54 53 1 -1

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2010
THU
Thun
1 - 3
FC Wil
WIL
54%
24%
23%
63 63 0 0
13 Dec. 2009
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 1
Thun
THU
39%
23%
38%
64 60 4 -1
05 Dec. 2009
THU
Thun
4 - 0
FC Gossau
FCG
77%
15%
8%
64 42 22 0
22 Nov. 2009
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 4
Thun
THU
39%
24%
37%
63 59 4 +1
08 Nov. 2009
THU
Thun
1 - 1
Servette
SER
68%
19%
13%
63 56 7 0