Wohlen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wohlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
WOH
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
WOH
1 - 3
LAU
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
WOH
4 - 0
BIE
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 4
WOH
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
WOH
0 - 0
LEM
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIO
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
LUD
1 - 0
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
YOB
0 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIV
21%
22%
58%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |