WNC vs GRC 14 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WNC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
WNC
2 - 1
HEI
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LRC
3 - 1
WNC
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WNC
3 - 1
ZUI
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WNC
3 - 2
ALM
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VVG
2 - 0
WNC
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
GRC 14
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GRC
0 - 8
RIJ
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 1
GRC
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GRC
1 - 0
KLO
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
GRC
61%
19%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRC
2 - 0
MZC
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |