Winterthur vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
12º
12º
47
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
SCA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
5 - 0
YFJ
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KUF
0 - 4
WIN
7%
14%
79%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
EBT
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 2
RAP
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 1
STG
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 1
STG
14%
18%
68%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
STG
2 - 1
CSU
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
STG
0 - 2
LUD
67%
18%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
KRE
0 - 9
STG
6%
12%
82%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |