Winterthur vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
LAC
2 - 0
WIN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
WIN
1 - 1
LAU
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
GCZ
6 - 1
WIN
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
WIN
7 - 5
BEL
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
WIN
0 - 1
VEV
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZUG
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
BAS
5 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1984 |
FCL
4 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 2
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |