FA Trophy 1/32
Global 3-4
Wingate & Finchley vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WEA
2 - 2
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LOW
2 - 1
WIN
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 4
WIN
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 4
WIN
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 2
WIN
27%
23%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WEA
2 - 2
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
WEA
1 - 0
EAS
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
WEA
2 - 1
MAI
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 2
WEA
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 0
WEA
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |