Wingate & Finchley vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LOW
2 - 0
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HEN
1 - 1
WIN
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
WIN
3 - 2
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
WIN
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
WEA
1 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
WEA
4 - 0
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEA
1 - 1
WEA
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WEA
5 - 0
UXB
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
WEA
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |