Wingate & Finchley vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
WIN
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
3 - 1
HAS
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 2
LEW
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
WIN
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
WIN
3 - 3
EAS
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOO
0 - 6
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 0
TOO
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 0
TOO
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TOO
0 - 1
MET
26%
24%
51%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 0
TOO
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |