Wingate & Finchley vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
BIL
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TON
3 - 0
WIN
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BIL
4 - 0
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 0
VCD
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
BOG
6 - 0
WIN
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 1
HEN
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HEN
0 - 3
WOR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
HEN
1 - 4
DAG
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
HAY
0 - 2
HEN
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
HIT
2 - 2
HEN
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |