Wingate & Finchley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 2
CAN
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 1
HAR
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 3
WIN
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 2
BOG
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
YEL
3 - 1
FOL
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
YEL
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
LEA
2 - 0
YEL
47%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
STA
4 - 0
YEL
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 0
WOR
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |