Windsor Arch Ka I vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WAK
4 - 1
KLM
77%
13%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 1
SMA
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WAK
10 - 0
MAC
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 0
CPK
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 2
MCA
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
PSP
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CPK
1 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAI
1 - 2
PSP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PSP
2 - 1
KLM
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |