Windsor Arch Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 9
WAK
23%
19%
57%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
WAK
0 - 0
CHF
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
WAK
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 3
WAK
36%
22%
41%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LAI
1 - 3
WAK
42%
20%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
64%
17%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 2
MCA
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 1
HSA
62%
17%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
LAI
1 - 9
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CHF
2 - 3
MCA
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |