Windsor Arch Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WAK
5 - 1
LAI
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAK
0 - 0
BEN
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
WAK
3 - 1
KTM
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
WAK
1 - 1
MCA
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
WAK
4 - 0
GLP
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
MCA
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
1 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 2
MCA
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
WAK
1 - 1
MCA
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |