Winchester City vs Bemerton Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 2
MAN
39%
26%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WIN
3 - 0
SWI
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +5 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ALR
0 - 3
WIN
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WIN
2 - 1
PAU
10%
20%
70%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +4 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 0
CIN
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Bemerton Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BEM
1 - 4
FAR
43%
24%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |