Non League Div One Southern S & W Round 25

Winchester City vs Bashley analysis

Winchester City Bashley
36 ELO 7
6.6% Tilt 17.2%
8882º General ELO ranking 11797º
394º Country ELO ranking 667º
ELO win probability
89.8%
Winchester City
7.8%
Draw
2.4%
Bashley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
Winchester City
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.4%
Win probability
Bashley
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Winchester City
-15%
-7%
Bashley

ELO progression

Winchester City
Bashley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Winchester City
Winchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2016
WIN
Winchester City
3 - 0
Yate Town
YAT
68%
18%
14%
36 28 8 0
16 Jan. 2016
WIN
Winchester City
2 - 1
Mangotsfield United
MAN
77%
15%
8%
35 24 11 +1
06 Jan. 2016
WIN
Winchester City
1 - 5
Didcot Town
DID
67%
18%
15%
37 28 9 -2
26 Dec. 2015
AFT
AFC Totton
2 - 0
Winchester City
WIN
17%
19%
63%
39 24 15 -2
19 Dec. 2015
WIN
Winchester City
2 - 1
Evesham United
EVE
47%
24%
29%
38 39 1 +1

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2016
BAS
Bashley
0 - 4
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
6%
14%
81%
7 37 30 0
23 Jan. 2016
BAS
Bashley
0 - 5
Banbury United
BAN
6%
13%
81%
7 37 30 0
26 Dec. 2015
BAS
Bashley
1 - 4
Wimborne Town
WIM
6%
15%
79%
7 22 15 0
19 Dec. 2015
BRI
Bridgwater United
5 - 1
Bashley
BAS
88%
9%
3%
7 19 12 0
08 Dec. 2015
BAS
Bashley
0 - 5
Taunton Town
TAU
7%
15%
78%
7 39 32 0