Willy Serrato vs Sport Loreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SRP
4 - 2
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SBO
1 - 1
WIL
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 0
SPO
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
WIL
5 - 1
CIE
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Sport Loreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
SPO
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 0
SRP
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAL
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LOS
3 - 2
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |