Willikies vs Old Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
3 - 6
ALL
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
SEA
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HOP
4 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
SAP
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ORO
2 - 0
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ORO
3 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ORO
4 - 3
VIR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ORO
4 - 0
GOL
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ORO
0 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |