Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
1 - 1
WIL
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 0
WIL
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 0
RKC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
5 - 2
SPA
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |