Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 4
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 4
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
ADO
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 1
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 3
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
PSV
4 - 0
ZWO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |