Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
VVV
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
NEC
29%
25%
45%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 1
PSV
21%
21%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 0
VVV
84%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ZWO
0 - 3
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |