Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 3
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
WIL
3 - 1
SPA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
WIL
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
WIL
2 - 1
VVV
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VVV
2 - 4
PSV
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
5 - 1
RKC
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |