Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 3
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 0
ADO
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
WIL
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 2
FEY
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 1
ACM
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |