Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
WIL
5 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1993 |
MVV
1 - 0
WIL
52%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
WIL
4 - 1
RKC
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
WIL
1 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
PSV
1 - 1
SCH
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
GAE
0 - 4
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
TWE
0 - 0
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1993 |
PSV
1 - 1
GRO
83%
13%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
PSV
3 - 0
VOL
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |