Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
MVV
3 - 1
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
WIL
4 - 1
VOL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
PSV
1 - 1
VIT
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
SVV
0 - 1
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
PSV
6 - 1
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
50%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |