Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 1
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 2
NEC
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
GAE
3 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
ZWO
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 0
PSV
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
7 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |