Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
32%
25%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
RJC
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 2
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
HFC
1 - 5
HER
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |