Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
MVV
3 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 1
WIL
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
3 - 3
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
HER
3 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
HER
0 - 1
RJC
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FEY
7 - 1
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |