Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
3 - 1
GRO
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 2
TWE
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VOL
2 - 1
WIL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SCH
0 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 1
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
VOL
2 - 2
SCH
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEC
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |