Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
GRO
0 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 3
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
AJA
5 - 1
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 1
UTR
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
SPA
0 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
RKC
1 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
RJC
15%
25%
60%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
FEY
1 - 0
FOR
85%
12%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
FOR
2 - 2
VOL
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |