Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 3
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 4
FEY
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
4 - 1
KSK
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
EXC
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
ZWO
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 1
VIT
21%
24%
56%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HER
3 - 1
ZWO
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
SCH
32%
22%
45%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 2
ZWO
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |