Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 3
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 4
FEY
13%
20%
66%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
4 - 1
KSK
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
EXC
57%
21%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
ZWO
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 1
VIT
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HER
3 - 1
ZWO
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
SCH
29%
22%
49%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 2
ZWO
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |