Willem II vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 2
WIL
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 2
TWE
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BVO
0 - 2
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
WIL
4 - 1
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
BOS
0 - 4
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
BOS
4 - 4
HEL
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
BVV
0 - 1
BOS
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
BOS
2 - 2
HFC
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |