FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
7º
5º
72
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
WIN
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
WIL
65%
19%
17%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
NEX
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
THU
0 - 2
GCZ
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
WIN
0 - 1
THU
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
THU
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
THU
4 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |