FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
NAN
2 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
3 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
DIN
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
ZBR
1 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
THU
2 - 3
ZBR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 2
THU
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
THU
4 - 2
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |