Challenge League Round 7

FC Wil vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

FC Wil Neuchâtel Xamax
66 ELO 58
0.6% Tilt 23.2%
1175º General ELO ranking 1601º
18º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
53.3%
FC Wil
23.9%
Draw
22.7%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Wil
+3%
-1%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Points and table prediction

FC Wil
Their league position
Neuchâtel Xamax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Wil
Neuchâtel Xamax
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Wil
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
34%
24%
42%
65 70 5 0
09 Sep. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 3
KF Shkëndija
SHK
35%
24%
42%
65 69 4 0
02 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
43%
25%
32%
66 67 1 -1
27 Aug. 2023
BAD
Baden
0 - 5
FC Wil
WIL
21%
23%
56%
65 55 10 +1
20 Aug. 2023
FCC
Collina d'Oro
0 - 4
FC Wil
WIL
4%
8%
88%
65 30 35 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
13%
19%
68%
59 85 26 0
01 Sep. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
AC Bellinzona
BEL
56%
23%
21%
59 53 6 0
27 Aug. 2023
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
52%
24%
24%
59 64 5 0
20 Aug. 2023
VFR
Kleinhüningen
0 - 8
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
5%
11%
84%
60 9 51 -1
11 Aug. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
4 - 0
Thun
THU
20%
23%
57%
58 68 10 +2